AlphaCrafter: A Full-Stack Multi-Agent Framework for Cross-Sectional Quantitative Trading
AlphaCrafter: A Full-Stack Multi-Agent Framework for Cross-Sectional Quantitative Trading
AlphaCrafter is a full-stack multi-agent framework for cross-sectional quantitative trading that addresses the fragmentation problem in existing quantitative workflows. It unifies factor discovery, regime-aware selection, and risk-constrained execution within a single closed-loop system that adapts continuously to evolving market conditions without manual intervention. The framework consists of three specialized agents: a Miner that expands the factor pool via LLM-guided search with validation, a Screener that assesses market regimes to construct diversified factor ensembles, and a Trader that optimizes and executes strategies under explicit risk constraints. Together, they form a hypothesis–validation–execution loop that dynamically reconfigures signal ensembles and portfolio construction as market regimes shift.
Extensive experiments on CSI 300 and S&P 500 markets demonstrate that AlphaCrafter consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines—including traditional quantitative methods (MACD, Grid Trading), machine learning (LightGBM, XGBoost), deep learning (LSTM, Transformer, TRA), and LLM-based agents (TradingAgents, TradingGroup, RD-Agent, AlphaAgent)—in risk-adjusted returns while exhibiting the lowest cross-trial variance. Notably, AlphaCrafter is the only method that delivers consistently positive risk-adjusted returns across both backtesting and live trading phases, avoiding the catastrophic losses seen in all baselines. Ablation studies confirm the marginal contribution of each agent, and alpha decay analysis shows that dynamic factor curation is essential for maintaining predictive power. The framework also demonstrates robustness to the choice of underlying LLM, with stable performance across GPT, Claude, and Gemini backbones.
Highlights
- 1First full-stack multi-agent framework unifying LLM-driven factor discovery, regime-sensitive selection, and risk-constrained execution in a closed-loop system.
- 2Introduces a Screener agent that constructs regime-conditioned factor ensembles, dynamically reweighting signals without manual recalibration.
- 3Consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines on CSI 300 and S&P 500 in risk-adjusted returns with lowest cross-trial variance.
- 4Demonstrates robust live trading performance, uniquely avoiding catastrophic losses seen in all baseline methods.
Methods
- MMulti-agent framework with three specialized agents: Miner (LLM-guided factor generation and maintenance), Screener (regime assessment and factor ensemble construction), and Trader (adaptive strategy optimization and execution).
- MLLM-guided iterative factor search with validation using Information Coefficient (IC), ICIR, turnover, and decay profile.
- MRegime-conditioned factor suitability scoring and diversification-based selection to mitigate concentration risk.
- MHyperparameter optimization loop for strategy construction, backtesting candidate configurations on historical data.
Results
- ROn CSI 300 live trading: AR 5.70%, Sharpe 0.7002, MDD -5.31%; on S&P 500 live trading: AR 9.26%, Sharpe 0.7212, MDD -3.95%.
- RBacktesting Sharpe ratios of 1.5322 (CSI 300) and 1.2025 (S&P 500), outperforming all baselines including LSTM, XGBoost, and AlphaAgent.
- RAblation study shows each agent contributes meaningfully: removing Miner reduces AR, removing Screener increases MDD, removing Trader lowers Sharpe.
- RAlpha decay analysis shows AlphaCrafter maintains stable IC (0.015-0.025) across four semi-annual periods, comparable to periodic top20 re-selection.
- RModel stability analysis confirms consistent performance across GPT, Claude, and Gemini backbones with minimal variance.
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