Comparative Evaluation of Modern Deep Learning Methodologies for Portfolio Optimization

Comparative Evaluation of Modern Deep Learning Methodologies for Portfolio Optimization

Samuel Ozechi
Banjo Francis
Wisdom Yakanu
Joe Wayne Byers
Published on 4/27/2026
Equities
ETFs
Bonds
Cross-asset
Machine learning
Deep learning
Reinforcement learning
Backtesting
Diversification
Risk management

This paper presents a comprehensive evaluation of modern deep learning methodologies for portfolio optimization, integrating Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL), Transformers, and Autoencoders with traditional financial models. Using historical data from 2015-2023 across equities, ETFs, and bonds, the study assesses predictive power for covariance estimation, return forecasting, dynamic asset allocation, and dimensionality reduction. Hybrid approaches such as Transformer+GNN and Autoencoder+DRL are introduced to capture both relational and temporal market structures. Performance is evaluated through backtesting with metrics including volatility, cumulative return, maximum drawdown, annualized return, and Sharpe ratio across seven strategies, including Equal-Weighted, 60/40 allocation, and Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO).

Key findings reveal that hybrid models, particularly Transformer+GNN, achieve superior stability and risk control, yielding the lowest volatility and drawdown. However, MVO paired with well-calibrated inputs delivers the highest cumulative return and Sharpe ratio, highlighting the continued relevance of traditional methods. Standalone DRL underperforms due to limited structural awareness, while Autoencoders exhibit behavior similar to Equal-Weight strategies, emphasizing the need for dynamic policy learning. The study aligns with existing literature on relational modeling and feature compression in finance, demonstrating that combining deep learning with financial theory yields robust and adaptive portfolio strategies. The authors suggest exploring latent representations within traditional optimization frameworks to improve scalability and performance.

Highlights

  • 1Integrates GNNs, DRL, Transformers, and Autoencoders with traditional financial models for portfolio optimization.
  • 2Proposes hybrid architectures (Transformer+GNN, Autoencoder+DRL) to capture both relational and temporal market structures.
  • 3Demonstrates that hybrid models achieve superior stability and risk control, with Transformer+GNN yielding lowest volatility and drawdown.
  • 4Shows that Mean-Variance Optimization with well-calibrated inputs still delivers highest cumulative return and Sharpe ratio.
  • 5Provides comprehensive backtesting across seven strategies using historical data from 2015-2023 on equities, ETFs, and bonds.

Methods

  • M
    Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for relational modeling of asset dependencies.
  • M
    Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) for dynamic asset allocation.
  • M
    Transformer architectures for temporal pattern recognition in financial time series.
  • M
    Autoencoders for dimensionality reduction and feature extraction.

Results

  • R
    Transformer+GNN hybrid achieves the lowest volatility and maximum drawdown among all strategies.
  • R
    Mean-Variance Optimization with well-calibrated inputs yields the highest cumulative return and Sharpe ratio.
  • R
    Standalone DRL underperforms due to limited structural awareness of market relationships.
  • R
    Autoencoder-based strategies behave similarly to Equal-Weight portfolios, indicating lack of dynamic policy learning.
  • R
    Hybrid models provide superior stability and risk control compared to standalone deep learning approaches.
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